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  • How to save Ukraine's economy from the war

    The Russian war against Ukraine has had a disastrous impact on the country’s economy.The functioning of the country depends almost entirely on international financial aid but it’s still not sufficient compared to the country’s needs.
    by Sławomir Matuszak
  • New commander, new goals for Russia in Ukraine

    Now it is clear that the Russian army is not able to wage an offensive war for lack of ammunition and sophisticated troops, the Russians change tactics. According to ex-diplomat Vladimir Frolov in an article for Carnegie Politika the idea is to buy time till spring and use evacuated Kherson as fortification and protection of free access to Crimea.
    by Vladimir Frolov
  • Russia increases military presence in Belarus

    In October Belarusian leader Alexander Lukashenko and president Vladimir Putin announced to deploy a new regional group of joint Russian and Belorussian forces in Belarus. What is behind this move? In a piece for Carnegie Politika the in Minsk based political analyst Artyom Shraibman argues that it's part of the ongoing erosion of the sovereignty of Belarus.
    by Artyom Shraibman
  • What does Russia's martial law entail?

    On October 19, Russian president Vladimir Putin signed a ...

  • Russian elites unlikely to split

    Since the beginning of the war rumours spread concerning the possibility of a split among the Russian elites. But despite individual dissent there is no reason to expect such a split nor organised collective action against the ‘special military operation’ in the foreseeable future.
    by Valdimir Gelman
  • Putin's address to Russia

    In his address to the nation on Wednesday Putin announced ‘partial mobilization’ for the war in Ukraine. He also supported the

    ...
  • Rob Lee: 'Huge breakthrough Kherson unlikely'

    Journalist Lilia Yapparova interviewed military analyst Rob Lee on Meduza about Ukraine’s push to liberate the Kherson region from Russian occupation. 'Will they be able to take back all of Kherson? I don't know. But I think they will be able to at least take back some towns and have some success.'
    by Lilia Yapparova
  • First grain ship left Ukraine but agreements have limited succes

    For the first time since the Russian invasion, a ship carrying grain was able to leave the port of Odesa on August 1. A day after the agreement was signed, however, Odesa was hit by a Russian missile strike. And a week later, Ukrainian agricultural tycoon Oleksiy Vadatursky was killed when a Russian missile destroyed his house. 
    by Adam Michalski a.o.
  • Old and New Ukrainian Paths to European Integration

    Getting the candidate status for EU membership on 23 June 2022 for Ukraine and Moldova was far more than a symbolic gesture. For the first time in its history Ukraine has the prospect of a European future.But there is a long way to go and Ukraine needs help and support. In the end it might strengthen the EU substantially.
    by Andreas Umland
  • Diary of Katya Savchenko: 'I can’t believe that we managed to escape'

    From February 27 till March 31 the Russian army was fighting around and eventually occupying the Ukrainian town of Bucha, 30

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  • How the West misunderstood the criminals in the Kremlin

    Several months into Russia’s full-scale invasion of Ukraine, the global discussion about the war has divided into two opposing

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  • Real Fascism to combat fake Nazism: Patrushev’s dreams of a warfighting Russia

    Chief of Russia's Security Council Nikolay Patrushev is the person closest to Putin, and the most sinister figure in Russia's

    ...
  • Despite Doomsday predictions, Bulgaria proves there is life after Russian gas

    On April 27 Gazprom abruptly shut off the gas taps to Bulgaria and Poland, because the countries refused to pay for their contracts

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  • Russian soldiers: 'We have no idea who we are fighting for'

    Moscow has yet to confirm the exact number of Russian soldiers currently fighting in Ukraine. According to various estimates,

    ...
  • 'It is impossible for the system in Russia not to change'

    While waging war on Ukraine, the Russian state has intensified its already tight control over the Internet, press, and opposition at

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  • Russia's elites are desperate about the war

    People in power, middle class business men who prospered under Putin, technocrats who are not allowed to leave:

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  • Zelenskyi’s spokesperson: soldier, actor, psychologist, propagandist

    One of the most intriguing advisors of president Zelenskyi is the 46-year old Oleksiy Arestovych, who predicted the war in

    ...
  • Russia's catastrophic geopolitics: Putin is late by a century

    International scolars on gepopolitics like the American professor John Mearsheimer don't seem to understand that their

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  • Brainwashing at Russia’s universities: how teachers have to present Putin’s policy

    Soon after the start of Russia’s war against Ukraine started, university teachers all over Russia were ordered to teach their

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  • What is known about the deportation of Ukrainian citizens to Russia?

    Ukrainian authorities accuse Russia of forcibly taking thousands of civilians to the Russian Federation. They also warn for

    ...
  • Ukrainian journalists in open letter to colleagues: it’s 'Russia's war', not 'a two sided crisis'

    In an open letter to colleagues abroad, a group of Ukrainian journalists warned for the pitfalls of Russian

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  • Will the 'European Dream' of Ukraine ever come true?

    Public opinion in Europe supports the fight of Ukrainians against Russia. The EU reluctantly offered a protracted path to

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  • Putin’s last stand: how to lose a war simply by starting one

    How did this war with Ukraine even become a possibility? Maxim Trudolyubov, editor of the Riga-based Russian

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  • Ukraine’s occupied towns are facing a tough choice: collaborate or resist?

    Local mayors in East-Ukrainian towns surrounded by Russian forces face a stark choice: do they surrender or stay in power to

    ...
  • War of obsession: Why Putin is risking Russia’s future

    By invading Ukraine Putin has shown that he has put his obsession with this neighbour above the national interest of Putin. As

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  • What would a war with Ukraine mean for ordinary Russians?

    Considering that a war with Ukraine would foster political dissatisfaction even among the part of the population

    ...
    by Andrei Kolesnikov
  • Russia’s business elite silently fears cost of war

    Russia's business elite is worried and scared about the prospect of war with Ukraine, but stays eerily silent. In matters of

    ...
  • The power of keeping calm. Why Ukraine downplays Russian aggression

    The topic of a possible war has recently dominated Ukraine’s politics and media. For OSW, Warsaw-based

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  • What Scenarios Might Emerge in Ukraine?

    As Western countries recall diplomats from Kyiv amid fears of a Russian invasion of Ukraine,

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  • Putin promises 'adequate military responses'

    During a meeting at the Ministry of Defense on 21 December Putin promised 'adequate military and technical responses' if the West continues its 'clearly aggressive line' of NATO expansion. Accepting means 'a fundamental overhaul of the current European security order in favour of Russia'. But refusal gives Russia the pretext for military action against Ukraine.
    by Marek Menkiszak
  • How do Russians feel about a war with Ukraine?

    Militarization stopped being a way to mobilize Russians in support of the government. Instead of mobilization, state propaganda has created a fear of world war. The majority of young Russians has a positive or very positive attitude toward Ukraine. Before launching an offensive, the Kremlin does better to realize who is willing to fight.
    by Andrei Kolesnikov
  • Ukraine crisis: a case study in modern Kremlinology

    Putin has loaded the gun. But will the trigger also be pulled? The West cannot know for sure what is intended. The Ukraine crisis is a kind of quantum politics.
    by Mark Galeotti
  • Moscow wants to limit Ukraine's sovereignty via Washington

    Many of the debates about the possibility of a Russian military action against Ukraine focus on what what US President Joe Biden and other NATO leaders can do to prevent it (or how to react if it happens.) What has been missing is a reflection on some of the wider contextual motives behind Moscow’s moves to ratchet up tension.
    by Anton Barbashin
  • What Russia’s military movements could mean for Ukraine, Europe, and NATO

    Once again Russia is mobilising its forces near the Ukrainian border, but much more covertly than in the past. Moscow’s belief that the EU and US will not step in to protect Ukraine could lead it to take direct military action.
    by Gustav Gressel
  • Russian foreign policy is changing rapidly

    The amassment of Russian troops near the Ukrainian border makes the world nervous. Putin's retoric is belligerent and the Kremlin refuses to talk to the Ukrainian leadership. Is it deterrence, bluff or the foreboding of war?
    by Dmitri Trenin
  • Ukraine, Russia and the last empire in Europe

    President Putin and Security Council member Dmitry Medvedev openly discredited Ukraine as an independent state.Causing the rage is a fundamental attitude of imperial Russia, that denies its neighbour's right to independence.
    by Volodymyr Yermolenko
  • Russia is an 'island', not ready for détente

    Neither expansionism, nor détente with Europe is the answer for the future of the Russian Federation after the break-up of the

    ...
  • Sticks and carrots in Biden’s Russia strategy

    So far it is two cheers for Biden's approach to Russia, Some of the sanctions will be more effective than others. By calling Putin a 'killer' with respect to Navalny, but at the same time inviting him for a meeting, he shows he has sticks and carrots to offer.
    by Matthew Sussex
  • The real fight for democracy starts when the dictators are gone

    Three times Russian journalist Ekaterina Sergatskova had to flee: first from Russia, then from Crimea and now from Ukraine. Her last flight was caused by threats after she published a story about the links between Ukrainian neo-nazi's and the wellknown post-Maidan fact-checker StopFake. In this columnshe warns the West that overcoming dictatorship doesn't automatically mean that democracy will blossom.
    by Ekaterina Sergatskova
  • Competion between US LNG and Russian gas is great for Europe

    Never a dull moment. This is the feeling one has when observing the tumultuous turns of events in the complex entanglement of energy and politics involving Europe, Russia, the US, and countries in the neighbourhood. The US imposes sanctions on Nord Stream 2 and the energy market is politicising. Is the EU-Russia gas relation a liability? Who profits the most from it?
    by Luca Franza
  • Russia facing Europe: a roadmap for improvement

    In the relationship between Russia and Europe, illusions about rapprochement are gone. However, the relation is not confrontational either. It's in Russia's interest to strengthen economic and technological ties with the EU, argues Dmitri Trenin, director of Carnegie Center Moscow on the website of his think tank.
    by Dmitry Trenin
  • 'The future of Russia is evolution to a European parliamentary democracy'

    In a hall with over 400 (mostly) students at the Campus The Hague, Mikhail Khodorkovsky spoke about the future of Russia. Khodorkovsky declared himself a staunch supporter of evolutionary change in Russia, from a presidential system to a fullfledged democratic parliamentary republic.
    by Raam op Rusland
  • Don't call the conflict in the Donbas a 'civil war'

    Not only Russians, but also scores of western politicians and commentators use the term 'civil war' for the armed conflict in the Donbas. This is a false flag, argues researcher Tobias Wals, to deny Russia's heavy involvement in the military operation.
    by Tobias Wals
  • The Yuri Tymoshenko Risk

    In a worst-case scenario, political-technological trickery could unsettle social stability in Ukraine. Cynical puppet masters are prepared to risk the outbreak of a major domestic civil conflict for the sake of securing the re-election of Ukraine’s incumbent president.
    by Andreas Umland
  • Ukraine is pregnant with its own version of Putinism

    On March 31 Ukrainians will vote for a new president. It looks like a run-off between Petro Poroshenko and TV comedian Volodymir Zelensky. This 'against-all' candidate with no political experience shows that a large chunk of the electorate is fed up with Poroshenko's Putinism-lite. The West prefers to neglect these signs, says journalist Leonid Ragozin.
    by Leonid Ragozin
  • Ukraine’s Presidential Elections May Be Unpredictable but Five Things Are Certain

    In March 2019, Ukrainians vote for a new president. Don't underestimate Poroshenko, warns consultant Brian Mefford, based in Kyiv. His fight for an independent Ukrainian orthodox church raised his popularity. One thing is sure: thanks to Crimea and the Donbass war, the Russian political bloc has completely lost its clout.
    by Brian Mefford
  • Turmoil about West-Ukrainian ban on Russian-language culture

    The Lviv regional council on September 18 put a ban on Russian-language cultural products, that has drawn a lot of criticism in and

    ...
  • Footprints of the Russian Military Intelligence Agency GRU are everywhere

    The Russian GRU is back in charge. Be it in the Mueller indictment, the annexation of Crimea, the Skripal case, the downing of MH17,

    ...
  • Russia’s alienation from the West: who is to blame?

    In a

    Украинская автокефалия как историческая драма

    Встреча президента Украины Петра Порошенко и патриарха Варфоломея стала началом четвертого акта большой исторической драмы под

    ...
  • Black Monday Blues in Moscow

    Column      Dutch businessman Jeroen Ketting has been

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  • Putin’s ‘Greater Russia’: misunderstanding or mission?

    The controversy that broke out in February 2018 over what Russian president Vladimir Putin did or did not say in a meeting in 2006

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  • Separation from Ukraine is good for Russia's future

    While in Moscow it is commonly accepted that Ukraine's separation from Russia was caused by a plot, Dmitri Trenin argues

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  • Europe's challenge: a measured response to Russia

    With the end of the Cold War the geo-strategic reality in Europe changed. The Charter of Paris, signed in 1990, confirmed the right

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  • Ukraine’s patronalistic regime is trying to preserve itself

    The old clans are re-asserting their power in Ukraine again, while staying on a European course. In Ukraine pro-European political

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  • Cyber-challenge cuts both ways

    Russia now is considered as one of the main actors in cyberwar. But using 'patriotic hackers' can backfire in your own

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  • Ukrainians can travel visa-free to EU: what should we expect?

    With a concert on Maydan Square Ukrainians celebrated that since June 11 they can travel to European countries without a visa. 'Farewell,

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  • Three years after Maidan the revolution in Ukraine is not over yet

    Three years ago the Maidan demonstrations ended in blood and with the flight of president Yanukovich to Russia. Young Ukrainians,

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  • Two Ukraines and two Russias

    For Ukraine and Russia last year proved out to be a year of relative stability, both in political and economical terms.  But

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  • Why do the West and Russia fear each other?

    In december Dmitri Trenin, director of Carnegie Moscow Center, published the book 'Should we fear Russia?' He warns the West

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  • Европа — назад к сферам влияния?

    Владимир Путин требует для России положения сверхдержавы, и избрание Трампа может сыграть ему на руку. Но на чем основаны

    ...
  • Glazyev Tapes: What Moscow's interference in Ukraine means for the Minsk Agreements

    More and more details emerge about the Kremlin's involvement in the uprising in Ukraine. The Glazyev Tapes show how deep that

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  • Ukraine's turbulent past between hagiography and demonization

    Western scolars criticize Ukraine for its selective national memory policies. Moscow demonizes Ukrainian national liberation

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  • Why young people keep leaving Eastern Europe

    We are the most educated and globally competitive young generation that Eastern Europe has ever seen, writes Ukrainian journalist

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  • What is behind Russia's tough talk on Crimea?

    Russia reacted unusually strong after a misty shoot-out near the border with Crimea, blamed on 'Ukrainian terrorists'. Putin in

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  • Europe is weak, Christian Russia is winning

    Russia and Europe are fighting an ideological battle. The postmodern, secular and powerless Europe is challenged by Russia, where

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  • The real goal of Russia's unprecedented missile strikes on Ukraine

    On 17 October Russia resumed its indiscriminate missile terror on Ukrainian cities. The attacks started a week ago, on 10 October,

    ...

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